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Cardiovascular risk assessment

Cardiovascular risk

  • The concept of cardiovascular risk is central to preventive medicine.

  • Refers to the probability of an individual developing cardiovascular diseases (myocardial infarction, heart failure, sudden cardiac death, etc.), cerebrovascular diseases (stroke - cerebral thrombosis or transient ischemic attack) or peripheral arterial disease, in a given period, as a general rule, for 10 years.

  • Cardiovascular diseases are more prevalent in northern European countries and cerebrovascular diseases in southern European countries. This difference is called the north-south gradient and is attributed to the difference in eating habits. In northern Europe, the diet is lower in salt and the antioxidants provided by the variety of fruits and vegetables that characterize the Mediterranean Diet. It is for these reasons that coronary heart disease is more prevalent in northern European people. In southern European countries, the diet is richer in salt and antioxidants. It is for these reasons that high blood pressure is more prevalent in people from southern Europe and consequently, cerebrovascular diseases. Higher antioxidant intake protects southern people from coronary heart disease.

  • As expected, cardiovascular risk is associated with the presence of risk factors. Known risk factors, modifiable or non-modifiable, explain about 60% of cardiovascular risk. The remaining 40% is not explainable by known risk factors and is called residual risk.​

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Non-modifiable risk factors are those for which we have no capacity to intervene to modify (reduce) them. They are as follows:

  • Age: the risk increases with age, with this increase being more significant for men from the age of 45 and for women from the age of 55.

  • Gender: in men, the risk begins to increase at younger ages. In women, the risk increases after menopause.

  • Ethnicity: populations of some ethnicities have a higher prevalence of some risk factors. For example, black adults have a higher prevalence and severity of high blood pressure than those of other ethnicities.

  • Family history: cardiovascular risk is higher in individuals who have first-degree relatives who have suffered early cardiovascular events (in men under 55 years of age and in women under 65 years of age).

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Modifiable risk factors are those for which we have pharmacological resources or lifestyle modification so that they can be mitigated.

  • Smoking: is associated with the development of atherosclerosis and consequently, with an increase in blood pressure and 2 to 4 times, with the development of cardiovascular diseases. It is the leading cause of preventable death and is the cause of 20% of deaths from coronary heart disease. It is responsible for 80% of cases of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and 75 to 80% of cases of chronic bronchitis. It is the cause of 25 to 30% of all cancers and 90% of lung cancer cases. The impact of smoking cessation on human health is very important. At age 5, the risk of esophageal cancer is reduced by half. At 10 years, the risk of lung cancer is also reduced by half and at 15 years, the risk of cardiovascular disease is similar to that of non-smokers, of the same gender and the same age. The cardiovascular risk of people exposed to tobacco smoke (passive smoker) also increases.

  • Obesity and overweight: the most common method for defining obesity is by calculating the BMI (Body Mass Index, which is the result of dividing the weight by the square of the height). If the BMI is less than 18.5 kg/m2, it corresponds to low weight (if it is <15 kg/m2, it is associated with a risk of death). If it is between 18.5 and 24.9 kg/m2, we are talking about normal weight. Between 25 and 29.9 kg/m2, we are talking about excess weight (the cardiovascular risk is increased, but not significantly. If the BMI is between 27 and 29.9 kg/m2 and if other risk factors are present, such as diabetes or high blood pressure, then the cardiovascular risk is already significantly increased). Regardless of the presence or absence of other risk factors, for a BMI >30 kg/m2, cardiovascular risk is already significantly increased and will increase further as BMI increases. Obesity is defined as having a BMI >30 kg/m2. If the BMI is 30 to 34.9 kg/m2, the obesity is type I. If it is 35 to 39.9 kg/m2, it is type II and if it is =>40 kg/m2, it is type III. For some authors, BMI =>50 kg/m2 is classified as type IV or extreme or morbid obesity. Calculating BMI is important for classifying obesity. However, if we take into account central or android obesity, the measurement of the abdominal perimeter is more important than the BMI. In men, a measurement <94 cm is associated with low cardiovascular risk. If the measurement is between 94 and 101.9 cm, the risk is increased and if it is =>102 cm, the risk is greatly increased. In women, the values ​​are, respectively, <80 cm (some authors consider 83 cm), from 80 to 87.9 cm and =>88 cm. There is a direct relationship between obesity and other cardiovascular risk factors. 78% of type 2 diabetics have a BMI >25 kg/m2. 60% of hypertensive patients are obese. There is a direct relationship between BMI and mortality from cardiac causes and, regardless of BMI, increased abdominal perimeter is always associated with increased cardiovascular risk.

  • Diabetes mellitus: is one of the most important cardiovascular risk factors. Diabetic patients, particularly those with poorer control, have a significantly increased risk of suffering from myocardial infarction, cerebral thrombosis or peripheral arterial disease. This conclusion was reported for the first time in a scientific article published by Haffner and collaborators in 1998. They concluded that in relation to cardiovascular risk, diabetes was equivalent to the patient being in secondary prevention, that is, the risk of a diabetic patient suffering from a myocardial infarction, even if he had not had any previous episode, was similar to that of another non-diabetic patient who had already suffered a myocardial infarction.

  • High blood pressure: high blood pressure is one of the most common and important cardiovascular risk factors. It is associated with a higher risk of stroke (thrombotic or hemorrhagic), coronary heart disease and peripheral arterial disease. It is estimated that 27% of the adult population in Portugal is hypertensive. Of these, only 50% know they have high blood pressure, only 25% are taking medication and only 11% have their blood pressure under control. A blood pressure value lower than 120/70 mmHg is considered normal. If the systolic (“maximum”) blood pressure is between 120 and 140 mmHg and the diastolic (“minimum”) blood pressure is between 70 and 90 mmHg, it is considered that blood pressure is high or pre-hypertension. If the value is >140/90 mmHg it is called arterial hypertension.

  • Dyslipidemia: abnormalities in lipid metabolism, whether cholesterol, triglycerides or apolipoproteins, are associated with an increased cardiovascular risk, in particular coronary disease. Cholesterol is essentially formed by three lipoproteins: HDL (High Density Lipoproteins); LDL (Low Density Lipoproteins; Lp(a). HDL is the so-called “good” cholesterol. It protects against coronary disease, which is why its high value is associated with a reduction in cardiovascular risk. Values ​​>60 mg/dl are considered protective. However, sometimes even very high values ​​(>80 mg/dl) may not be protective because they are dysfunctional HDL. LDL is considered “bad” cholesterol. It represents the cholesterol that is deposited on the walls of the arteries and causes atherosclerosis and the consequent increase in cardiovascular risk. In individuals without other risk factors, a value <115mg/dl is accepted. If other risk factors are present, the normal value should be <100 mg/dl or even <70 mg/dl. However, in relation to LDL, there is a consensus that the lower the value, the better. Lp(a) is a lipoprotein similar to LDL, with the difference that it is made up of an apolipoprotein B100 linked to the apoilipoprotein a. A high Lp(a) value is also associated with an increased cardiovascular risk. Regarding total cholesterol, the value considered normal is <180 mg/dl. However, various scientific studies, such as the Framingham Heart Study, indicate that the normal value should be <150 mg/dl. Triglycerides (TG) are a fat and represent the most important form of how it is stored in the human body. They are supplied by food and synthesized in the liver. Excess calories ingested are transformed into TG, which are stored in adipose tissue as an energy reserve. In the event of a lack of energy supply, TG are mobilized from adipose tissue and converted into glucose in the liver through a process called neoglucogenesis. High TG levels are associated with increased cardiovascular risk and very high levels are associated with risk of pancreatitis. The normal level is <150 mg/dl. Between 150 and 199 mg/dl is considered to be a value at the upper limit of normal. Between 200 and 499 mg/dl is considered a high value and above 500 mg/dl, a very high value.

  • Sedentary lifestyle: associated with increased cardiovascular risk, in particular, myocardial infarction, cerebral thrombosis, heart failure and sudden cardiac death. It is also associated with an increased prevalence of obesity, high blood pressure, type 2 diabetes mellitus and obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome. Physical activity can be done while taking advantage of everyday tasks. If more intense physical activity is performed, it must follow certain rules to minimize any risks. Heart rate should be monitored by measuring the pulse or using some equipment that can take the measurement. You should start by calculating the Maximum Theoretical Frequency (MTF) to be achieved. The MTF is the result of subtracting age from 220. The maximum heart rate to be achieved with the activity should be between 60 and 75% of the MTF. In a scientific study carried out by the University of Cambridge and published in the American Journal of Clinical Nutrition, 334,000 Europeans were monitored, during 12 years, their physical activity and mortality were analysed, concluding that 7.3% of them were due to a sedentary lifestyle.

  • Unhealthy diet: This is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease, particularly if the diet is rich in saturated fats, trans fats, salt and sugar and poor in fiber and essential nutrients. On the contrary, a diet based on the Mediterranean diet, rich in fruits, vegetables, whole grains, fish, poultry and olive oil, significantly reduces cardiovascular risk.

  • Chronic stress: is associated with increased blood pressure and accelerated heart rate and consequently the risk of events such as myocardial infarction and cerebral thrombosis.

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  • Today, we have several computer tools for calculating cardiovascular risk. Any of the available tools can be used, but it should be noted that some of them are more suitable for certain populations. The Framingham Risk Score is best suited for Americans, the SCORE (Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation) for Europeans and the QRISK for the British. The risk calculation assesses the probability of events occurring in the next 10 years. Several variables are used, which should be complemented by measuring the abdominal perimeter and carrying out some complementary diagnostic tests (electrocardiogram, echocardiogram, stress test, lipid profile, blood glucose, glycated hemoglobin, etc.) to obtain the most accurate and early result.

  • Reducing cardiovascular risk is based on controlling modifiable risk factors. This modification is obtained, essentially, through the use of pharmacological therapy. However, it should be taken into account that adopting a healthy lifestyle, which combines a healthy diet with physical activity and a stress-free daily life, is absolutely essential. The earlier and more rigorous the intervention on risk factors, the more significant the reduction in cardiovascular risk and, consequently, the probability of myocardial infarction, cerebral thrombosis, sudden cardiac death, etc. Therefore, it is necessary to adopt a healthy lifestyle (not smoking or quitting smoking; following a healthy diet; practicing physical activity; maintaining weight and abdominal circumference within normal limits; not exceeding the maximum daily recommendation for alcohol intake; managing stress) and adequately controlling risk factors that require pharmacological therapy (high blood pressure, dyslipidemia, diabetes, etc.).

  • Better control of risk factors has been accompanied by a decrease in cardiovascular mortality and an increase in life expectancy. There are, however, unknown risk factors that determine the 40% of the residual cardiovascular risk that we still do not know how to control. There are also new challenges facing the population and professionals, such as childhood obesity, sedentary lifestyle, population aging, psychosocial factors, environmental pollution, chronic inflammatory diseases and the globalization of unhealthy eating habits.

Nutrigenetic
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